AnalysisNews

USAR today

$8.07-$0.20 (-2.36%)close Nov 12, 2026

Trend

DailyDowntrend (confirmed)

4 hourStrong Bearish

1 hourStrong Bearish

15 minSymmetric Triangle

5 minExpanding

Daily trend turns up above $10.88

Key levels

Resistance$9.82

Resistance$8.88

Support$8.00

Support$6.84

Latest news & SEC filings

EarningsUSA Rare Earth Posts Q3 2026 Financial and Operational Results

DealUSA Rare Earth starts commercial shipments of mixed rare earth concentrate to government-funded SPV

ProductUSA Rare Earth now sells magnets, report notes a caveat

AnalystCantor Fitzgerald keeps Overweight on USA Rare Earth, cuts price target to $30

All USAR news →

About USA Rare Earth

USA Rare Earth is building an integrated rare earth supply chain spanning mining, separation, metal and alloy production, and permanent magnet manufacturing. Its main asset is the Round Top heavy rare earth deposit in Sierra Blanca, Texas, which contains dysprosium, terbium, yttrium, gallium, and hafnium. Through its Less Common Metals subsidiary in the United Kingdom, it produces rare earth metals and alloys, and it is developing magnet production in Stillwater, Oklahoma, plus a metal-making plant in Lacq, France. Customers include the defense, aerospace, semiconductor, energy, and industrial sectors in the United States and allied countries.

Based on the company's 10-K filed Mar 30, 2026.

Nasdaq · Basic Materials

USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR)

$8.07-0.20 (-2.36%)
WATCHLISTGrade: BRisk: LOW
1D5D1M1Y5YMaxSign up for all timeframes
8.689.9511.2112.488.07Oct 12Oct 20Oct 28Nov 5
High8.47
Low7.69
Open7.89
Volume22.01M
Avg Vol14.04M
VWAP8.18
30d High13.74
30d Low7.42
30d Chg-40.62%

What Is the Price Target for USAR?

SEPT Low Target

$21.00

SEPT Mid Target

$32.00

SEPT High Target

$35.00

Analyst Consensus

$32.00

Current: $8.26Upside: +287.4%Confidence: 85%Method: Analyst Consensus

Is USAR a Buy or Sell Right Now?

63
Investability Score
WATCHLIST12-18 months
News summary · last 30 days
Nov 9▲ UpProductEarnings3 articles
USA Rare Earth shares closed up 4.41% at $8.76 after trading between $8.16 and $9.14 on volume of about 18.2 million shares. The company announced it produced yttrium oxide for the first time at its Wheat Ridge, Colorado pilot facility and shipped samples, a bullish but low-impact milestone. That positive news was offset by a wider-than-expected Q3 adjusted loss of 44 cents per share versus the 16-cent consensus, with revenue of $3.002 million badly missing the $13.252 million estimate. The company also filed a Form 8-K disclosing a major event, adding to the day's news flow. Despite the earnings miss, the stock finished higher, suggesting the market focused on the production milestone.

Thesis

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    Is USAR Overvalued or Undervalued?

    Valuation Verdict

    UNDERVALUED

    Methods Used

    Analyst Consensus

    Fair Value

    $32.00

    10

    Moat Score

    NONE

    3/9

    Piotroski Score

    2.2

    Altman Z-Score

    What Is Smart Money Doing with USAR?

    Insider Signal

    NEUTRAL

    0 buys / 2 sells (90d)

    Congress Signal

    NEUTRAL

    0 buys / 0 sells (90d)

    Institutional

    N/A

    Short Squeeze Risk

    HIGH

    Signal: HIGH_SHORT_INTEREST

    Recent Insider Activity

    NameTitleTypeSharesValueDate
    Trabuco CarolyndirectorBuy5,054-Nov 9, 2026
    SCHWETHELM OTTO CdirectorBuy5,054-Nov 9, 2026
    BLITZER MICHAELdirectorBuy5,054-Nov 9, 2026
    Senft Michael FdirectorBuy5,054-Nov 9, 2026
    Steele William Robert JrofficerBuy31,333-Nov 9, 2026
    Steele William Robert JrofficerSale15,943-Nov 9, 2026
    Humpton BarbaraofficerSale88,391$1.2MOct 2, 2026
    Humpton BarbaraofficerBuy83,554$1.2MOct 1, 2026
    Humpton BarbaraofficerBuy104,443$1.4MOct 1, 2026
    Humpton BarbaraofficerBuy31,333$432KOct 1, 2026

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    USAR Growth Story

    Revenue YoY

    N/A%

    3yr Revenue CAGR

    N/A%

    EPS Growth YoY

    -727.5%

    FCF Growth YoY

    -436.4%

    Revenue Trend

    UNKNOWN

    Dark Pool Trades for USAR

    PREVIEW

    SEPT Investing tracks real-time dark pool institutional trades for USAR, including block trade sizes, dollar values, and buy/sell side classification. Dark pool trades reveal where institutional investors are positioning before moves become visible on public exchanges.

    TimePriceSizeValueSide
    24:56:48$8.181,200$$10KBUY
    24:42:31$8.131,000$$8KBUY
    24:41:55$8.131,500$$12KBUY
    24:32:53$8.181,000$$8KSELL
    24:12:02$8.201,000$$8KBUY

    5 dark pool trades shown · $$47K preview volume

    Real-time institutional flow, block trades, and net positioning

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    Options Flow for USAR

    PREVIEW

    SEPT Investing provides real-time options flow tracking for USAR, including unusual sweep detection, block trades, and dealer positioning. Each trade shows strike, expiry, premium, implied volatility, and greek values for informed decision-making.

    TypeStrikeExpiryDTEPremiumSizeTrade
    CALL$11Nov 2715$$81SWEEP
    CALL$11Nov 2715$$162SWEEP
    CALL$11Nov 2715$$32841SWEEP
    CALL$11Nov 2715$$405SWEEP
    CALL$11Nov 2715$$81SWEEP

    5 options trades shown · 100% calls

    Unusual activity, GEX levels, max pain, and dealer positioning

    See full options flow

    Full AI Research Report

    SEPT's Trading AI has generated a free, downloadable PDF research report for USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) covering valuation analysis, financial health assessment, growth projections, smart money tracking, earnings and key price levels. For research only, not investment advice.

    Report includes: PDF download, detailed valuation models (DCF, P/E, EV/EBITDA), institutional flow analysis, congress and insider trade tracking, FinBERT news sentiment (2 articles analyzed), and SEC filing intelligence...

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    USAR — frequently asked questions

    What is USAR stock price today?

    USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) is at $8.07, down 2.36% (-$0.20) at the Nov 12, 2026 close.

    Why is USAR stock moving today?

    Latest USAR news — Nov 10, 2026: USA Rare Earth Posts Q3 2026 Financial and Operational Results · Nov 10, 2026: USA Rare Earth starts commercial shipments of mixed rare earth concentrate to government-funded SPV

    Why did USAR stock move on Nov 9, 2026?

    USA Rare Earth shares closed up 4.41% at $8.76 after trading between $8.16 and $9.14 on volume of about 18.2 million shares. The company announced it produced yttrium oxide for the first time at its Wheat Ridge, Colorado pilot facility and shipped samples, a bullish but low-impact milestone.

    What is the USAR price target?

    The average analyst price target for USAR is $32.00, ranging from $21 to $35, based on 7 analysts. Latest: Cantor Fitzgerald maintains on Nov 10, 2026.

    What do analysts rate USAR?

    Analyst ratings for USAR: 0 Buy, 11 Hold, 0 Sell — consensus Hold.

    Did USAR beat earnings?

    USAR last reported on Nov 9, 2026: EPS -$0.44 vs -$0.16 expected — a miss of 175.0%.

    Does USAR pay a dividend?

    Yes. USAR's dividend yield is 4.69%.

    What are USAR support and resistance levels?

    Support: $8.00, $6.84, $5.56. Resistance: $8.88, $9.82, $10.88.

    What are insiders doing with USAR?

    Insider activity: NEUTRAL, 0 buys and 2 sells in the last 90 days.

    What is the latest news on USAR?

    Nov 10, 2026: USA Rare Earth Posts Q3 2026 Financial and Operational Results · Nov 10, 2026: USA Rare Earth starts commercial shipments of mixed rare earth concentrate to government-funded SPV · Nov 10, 2026: USA Rare Earth now sells magnets, report notes a caveat