AnalysisNews

ULCC today

$8.08-$0.01 (-0.12%)close Nov 11, 2026

Trend

DailyDowntrend (confirmed)

4 hourSymmetric Triangle

1 hourBearish

15 minStrong Bearish

5 minStrong Bearish

Daily trend turns up above $8.32

Key levels

Resistance$10.26

Resistance$8.32

Support$7.38

Support$6.29

Latest news & SEC filings

ProductFrontier Airlines begins taking bookings for premium seats, adds cabin upgrades

AnalystDeutsche Bank raises Frontier Group Holdings rating to Buy

AnalystDeutsche Bank raises Frontier Group Holdings to Buy, price target to $10

NewsFrontier Airlines announces changes to its executive leadership team

All ULCC news →

About Frontier Airlines

Frontier Group Holdings is the parent of Frontier Airlines, an ultra low-cost carrier based in Denver, Colorado. It flies throughout the United States and to select nearby international destinations in the Americas with a fleet of Airbus single-aisle jets. The airline mainly serves leisure travelers and price-sensitive customers, offering low base fares with optional add-ons such as bags, seat selection and bundles. Tickets are sold mostly through its own digital channels, with the rest through travel agencies and online travel sites.

Based on the company's 10-K filed Feb 18, 2026.

Nasdaq · Consumer Cyclical

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC)

$8.08-0.01 (-0.12%)
REDUCEGrade: DRisk: HIGH
1D5D1M1Y5YMaxSign up for all timeframes
5.366.116.857.608.08Oct 9Oct 19Oct 27Nov 4
High8.25
Low7.96
Open8.04
Volume3.53M
Avg Vol3.66M
VWAP8.13
30d High8.35
30d Low4.61
30d Chg+35.34%

What Is the Price Target for ULCC?

SEPT Low Target

$5.00

SEPT Mid Target

$6.25

SEPT High Target

$10.00

Analyst Consensus

$6.25

Current: $8.07Upside: -22.6%Confidence: 85%Method: Analyst Consensus

Is ULCC a Buy or Sell Right Now?

27
Investability Score
REDUCE12-18 months
News summary · last 30 days
Oct 28▼ DownEarningsGuidance6 articles
ULCC closed at $6.17, down 2.37% on volume of 6.6 million shares, after Frontier Group Holdings reported Q3 2026 adjusted earnings of $0.18 per share that beat the $(0.04) forecast, with revenue of $1.355 billion topping the $1.287 billion estimate. Management said $200 million in yearly expense cuts remain on track for 2027, with capacity expected to rise 5% to 7% next year. However, the company cut its Q4 adjusted EPS outlook to $(0.15)-$0.05 from $0.00-$0.20, below the $(0.05) analyst estimate, weighing on the stock. The strong quarterly beat and cost-cut progress are positive, but the reduced Q4 guidance is a bearish signal that pressured shares today.
Critical news
Oct 28HIGHEarnings: growth/beat
Oct 9HIGHEarnings: growth/beat

Thesis

  • •Revenue growing -1.4% YoY with SLOWING trend — consistent growth.
  • •SEC filings signal active product innovation — 1 new product/expansion keywords detected in 10-K. R&D investment stable.

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Is ULCC Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Verdict

OVERVALUED

Methods Used

P/B, Analyst Consensus

Fair Value

$4.77

4

Moat Score

NONE

0/9

Piotroski Score

0.4

Altman Z-Score

What Is Smart Money Doing with ULCC?

Insider Signal

NEUTRAL

0 buys / 2 sells (90d)

Congress Signal

NEUTRAL

0 buys / 0 sells (90d)

Institutional

N/A

Short Squeeze Risk

HIGH

Signal: HIGH_SHORT_INTEREST

Recent Insider Activity

NameTitleTypeSharesValueDate
Schuller SteveofficerBuy26,042-Oct 25, 2026
Schuller SteveofficerSale11,393$56KOct 25, 2026
Wetzel Josh AofficerBuy17,361-Oct 25, 2026
Wetzel Josh AofficerSale4,992$25KOct 25, 2026
Mitchell Mark ChristopherofficerBuy52,084-Oct 25, 2026
Mitchell Mark ChristopherofficerSale22,786$113KOct 25, 2026
Dempsey James G.director officerBuy156,250-Oct 25, 2026
Dempsey James G.director officerSale68,359$338KOct 25, 2026
Stedke Trevor J.officerBuy60,764-Oct 25, 2026
Stedke Trevor J.officerSale26,584$131KOct 25, 2026

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ULCC Growth Story

Revenue YoY

-1.4%

3yr Revenue CAGR

3.8%

EPS Growth YoY

-262.16%

FCF Growth YoY

-279.8%

Revenue Trend

SLOWING

Dark Pool Trades for ULCC

PREVIEW

SEPT Investing tracks real-time dark pool institutional trades for ULCC, including block trade sizes, dollar values, and buy/sell side classification. Dark pool trades reveal where institutional investors are positioning before moves become visible on public exchanges.

TimePriceSizeValueSide
21:00:53$8.0825,851$$209KBUY
21:00:03$8.0810,710$$87KBUY
21:00:03$8.088,216$$66KBUY
21:00:03$8.0822,552$$182KBUY
21:00:03$8.082,033$$16KBUY

5 dark pool trades shown · $$560K preview volume

Real-time institutional flow, block trades, and net positioning

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Options Flow for ULCC

PREVIEW

SEPT Investing provides real-time options flow tracking for ULCC, including unusual sweep detection, block trades, and dealer positioning. Each trade shows strike, expiry, premium, implied volatility, and greek values for informed decision-making.

TypeStrikeExpiryDTEPremiumSizeTrade
CALL$9Jan 1565$$24.5K350BLOCK
CALL$10Jan 1565$$401SWEEP
CALL$10Jan 1565$$7040176BLOCK
CALL$10Jan 1565$$6200155BLOCK
CALL$10Jan 1565$$7040176BLOCK

5 options trades shown · 100% calls

Unusual activity, GEX levels, max pain, and dealer positioning

See full options flow

What Traders Are Saying About ULCC

2 posts

SEPT Investing hosts an active community of 3,500+ traders sharing real-time analysis, trade setups, and market discussion for ULCC. Join verified traders discussing price action, dark pool alerts, options flow, and AI-powered market intelligence.

N
Nicole AdamsVERIFIED98d ago

Smart Money Moves $PUMP — GOBE PHILLIP A | Sale $TPL — HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC | Sale $0K $CRCL — Schulz Tamara L | Sale $72K $FTNT — Ohlgart Christiane | Sale $64K $ULCC — Clerc Alexan...

139 views
N
Nicole AdamsVERIFIED99d ago

Smart Money Moves $CRCL — Schulz Tamara L | Sale $72K $FTNT — Ohlgart Christiane | Sale $64K $ULCC — Clerc Alexandre | Sale $25K $BANC — Lindsay Olivia I | Sale $117K $CRCL — Razzaghi Hossein | Sale ...

150 views

Join 3,500+ traders discussing ULCC in real-time

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Full AI Research Report

SEPT's Trading AI has generated a free, downloadable PDF research report for Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) covering valuation analysis, financial health assessment, growth projections, smart money tracking, earnings and key price levels. For research only, not investment advice.

Report includes: PDF download, detailed valuation models (DCF, P/E, EV/EBITDA), institutional flow analysis, congress and insider trade tracking, FinBERT news sentiment (1 articles analyzed), and SEC filing intelligence...

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ULCC — frequently asked questions

What is ULCC stock price today?

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) is at $8.08, down 0.12% (-$0.01) at the Nov 11, 2026 close.

Why is ULCC stock moving today?

Latest ULCC news — Nov 10, 2026: Frontier Airlines begins taking bookings for premium seats, adds cabin upgrades · Nov 5, 2026: Deutsche Bank raises Frontier Group Holdings rating to Buy

Why did ULCC stock move on Oct 28, 2026?

ULCC closed at $6.17, down 2.37% on volume of 6.6 million shares, after Frontier Group Holdings reported Q3 2026 adjusted earnings of $0.18 per share that beat the $(0.04) forecast, with revenue of $1.355 billion topping the $1.287 billion estimate. Management said $200 million in yearly expense cuts remain on track for 2027, with capacity expected to rise 5% to 7% next year.

What is the ULCC price target?

The average analyst price target for ULCC is $6.25, ranging from $5 to $10, based on 6 analysts. Latest: Deutsche Bank upgrade on Nov 5, 2026.

What do analysts rate ULCC?

Analyst ratings for ULCC: 0 Buy, 10 Hold, 0 Sell — consensus Hold.

Did ULCC beat earnings?

ULCC last reported on Oct 28, 2026: EPS $0.18 vs -$0.06 expected — a beat of 385.7%.

Does ULCC pay a dividend?

ULCC does not currently pay a dividend.

How much debt does ULCC have?

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. reported $486M of debt and $976M of cash (Sep 30, 2026).

What are ULCC support and resistance levels?

Support: $7.38, $6.29, $5.55. Resistance: $8.32, $10.26.

What are insiders doing with ULCC?

Insider activity: NEUTRAL, 0 buys and 2 sells in the last 90 days.

What is the latest news on ULCC?

Nov 10, 2026: Frontier Airlines begins taking bookings for premium seats, adds cabin upgrades · Nov 5, 2026: Deutsche Bank raises Frontier Group Holdings rating to Buy · Nov 5, 2026: Deutsche Bank raises Frontier Group Holdings to Buy, price target to $10