AnalysisNews

PGR today

$236.26+$2.73 (+1.17%)close Nov 12, 2026

Trend

DailyUptrend (starting)

4 hourBullish

1 hourSymmetric Triangle

15 minLeaning Bearish

5 minConsolidating

Daily trend turns down below $200.96

Key levels

Resistance$248.17

Resistance$241.02

Support$235.35

Support$224.71

Latest news & SEC filings

ProductNov 10, 2026Progressive launches Snapshot Pro commercial telematics program

SEC FilingNov 6, 2026Progressive Corp filed an insider trading report (Form 4)

AnalystNov 5, 2026Mizuho sets new $242 valuation level for Progressive

All PGR news →

About Progressive

Progressive is an insurance holding company whose subsidiaries sell personal and commercial auto coverage, homeowners and renters insurance, and protection for motorcycles, boats, and recreational vehicles. It also offers small-business liability and property policies, workers' compensation mainly for trucking, and related services, with non-insurance units supporting its insurance and investment operations. Products reach customers through independent agents and directly online or by phone, and the company operates across the United States.

Based on the company's 10-K filed Mar 2, 2026.

NYSE · Financial

PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ (PGR)

$236.26+2.73 (+1.17%)
HOLDGrade: C+Risk: LOW
1D5D1M1Y5YMaxSign up for all timeframes
215.5220.7225.9231.1236.26Oct 12Oct 20Oct 28Nov 5
High237.42
Low234.44
Open236.93
Volume1.05M
Avg Vol2.39M
VWAP236.05
30d High236.26
30d Low210.31
30d Chg+12.34%
See full chart with real-time data

What Is the Price Target for PGR?

SEPT Low Target

$196.00

SEPT Mid Target

$230.00

SEPT High Target

$308.00

Analyst Consensus

$230.00

Current: $233.53Upside: -1.5%Confidence: 85%Method: Analyst Consensus

Is PGR a Buy or Sell Right Now?

53
Investability Score
HOLD12-18 months
News summary · last 30 days
Oct 14▲ UpEarnings3 articles
Progressive reported mixed Q3 results, with adjusted EPS of $4.60 beating the $4.36 estimate while sales of $21.869B missed the $22.495B estimate. The company also reported September EPS of $1.08, up 109% year-over-year, and net premiums written of $7.255B, up from $7.128B a year ago. Despite the earnings beat, headlines noted shares were trading lower after the mixed report, but the stock ultimately closed at $213.46, up 3.14% on the day, with a range from $201.02 to $214.03 on volume of 6.93 million shares. The strong EPS growth and premium expansion suggest a bullish underlying trend, though the sales miss introduces some caution.
Critical news
Oct 14HIGHEarnings: growth/beat
Oct 14HIGHEarnings: growth/beat
Oct 14HIGHEarnings: growth/beat

Thesis

  • •Revenue growing 16.3% YoY with STRONG trend — consistent growth.

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Is PGR Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Verdict

OVERVALUED

Methods Used

P/E Forward, P/B, PEG, Analyst Consensus

Fair Value

$219.47

41

Moat Score

NARROW

5/9

Piotroski Score

1.9

Altman Z-Score

What Is Smart Money Doing with PGR?

Insider Signal

SELLING

0 buys / 7 sells (90d)

Congress Signal

BUYING

5 buys / 9 sells (90d)

Institutional

N/A

Short Squeeze Risk

LOW

Signal: NEUTRAL

Recent Insider Activity

NameTitleTypeSharesValueDate
Broz StevenofficerSale1,225$250KSep 24, 2026
Griffith Susan Patriciadirector officerSale37,338$8.2MSep 1, 2026
Griffith Susan Patriciadirector officerSale1,598-Sep 1, 2026
Broz StevenofficerSale1,225$269KAug 20, 2026
Broz StevenofficerSale1,156$237KJul 23, 2026
Griffith Susan Patriciadirector officerSale6,043-Jul 13, 2026
Murphy John JoofficerSale5,916$1.2MJun 5, 2026
Broz StevenofficerSale1,157$231KJun 5, 2026

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PGR Growth Story

Revenue YoY

16.3%

3yr Revenue CAGR

20.9%

EPS Growth YoY

33.54%

FCF Growth YoY

15.9%

Revenue Trend

STRONG

Dark Pool Trades for PGR

PREVIEW

SEPT Investing tracks real-time dark pool institutional trades for PGR, including block trade sizes, dollar values, and buy/sell side classification. Dark pool trades reveal where institutional investors are positioning before moves become visible on public exchanges.

TimePriceSizeValueSide
19:06:14$236.652,210$$523KBUY
18:49:03$236.691,532$$363KBUY
18:33:34$236.583,074$$727KSELL
18:02:33$236.721,100$$260KMIDPOINT
18:02:13$236.721,100$$260KSELL

5 dark pool trades shown · $$2.1M preview volume

Real-time institutional flow, block trades, and net positioning

See all dark pool activity

Options Flow for PGR

PREVIEW

SEPT Investing provides real-time options flow tracking for PGR, including unusual sweep detection, block trades, and dealer positioning. Each trade shows strike, expiry, premium, implied volatility, and greek values for informed decision-making.

TypeStrikeExpiryDTEPremiumSizeTrade
CALL$250Feb 1999$$24005SWEEP
CALL$250Feb 1999$$24005SWEEP
CALL$250Feb 1999$$24005SWEEP
CALL$250Feb 1999$$4801SWEEP
CALL$250Feb 1999$$4801SWEEP

5 options trades shown · 100% calls

Unusual activity, GEX levels, max pain, and dealer positioning

See full options flow

What Traders Are Saying About PGR

1 posts

SEPT Investing hosts an active community of 3,500+ traders sharing real-time analysis, trade setups, and market discussion for PGR. Join verified traders discussing price action, dark pool alerts, options flow, and AI-powered market intelligence.

S
SEPT InvestingVERIFIED135d ago

SEPT Brain on $PGR -- Neutral PGR at $219.86. Day range $218.00-$221.76. Price in middle of zone $215.63-$224.53 — direction unclear, stop too wide. Wait for price to reach zone boundary for clearer ...

375 views

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Full AI Research Report

SEPT's Trading AI has generated a free, downloadable PDF research report for PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ (PGR) covering valuation analysis, financial health assessment, growth projections, smart money tracking, earnings and key price levels. For research only, not investment advice.

Report includes: PDF download, detailed valuation models (DCF, P/E, EV/EBITDA), institutional flow analysis, congress and insider trade tracking, FinBERT news sentiment (1 articles analyzed), and SEC filing intelligence...

Sign Up Free — Download AI Report PDF →

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About SEPT Investing

SEPT Investing tracks 13,000+ stocks with live charts, trend and key-level tracking, dark pool and options flow, insider and congress trades, SEC filings and news alerts.

Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.

PGR — frequently asked questions

What is PGR stock price today?

PROGRESSIVE CORP/OH/ (PGR) is at $236.26, up 1.17% (+$2.73) at the Nov 12, 2026 close.

Why is PGR stock moving today?

Latest PGR news — Nov 10, 2026: Progressive launches Snapshot Pro commercial telematics program · Nov 6, 2026: Progressive Corp filed an insider trading report (Form 4)

Why did PGR stock move on Oct 14, 2026?

Progressive reported mixed Q3 results, with adjusted EPS of $4.60 beating the $4.36 estimate while sales of $21.869B missed the $22.495B estimate. The company also reported September EPS of $1.08, up 109% year-over-year, and net premiums written of $7.255B, up from $7.128B a year ago.

What is the PGR price target?

The average analyst price target for PGR is $230.00, ranging from $196 to $308, based on 12 analysts. Latest: Evercore ISI Group maintains on Nov 3, 2026.

What do analysts rate PGR?

Analyst ratings for PGR: 2 Buy, 27 Hold, 1 Sell — consensus Hold.

Did PGR beat earnings?

PGR last reported on Oct 14, 2026: EPS $1.08 vs $4.35 expected — a miss of 75.2%.

What is PGR's P/E ratio?

PGR trades at a P/E of 11.6 vs a Financial average of 12.0.

Does PGR pay a dividend?

Yes. PGR's dividend yield is 2.15%.

What are PGR support and resistance levels?

Support: $235.35, $224.71, $218.83. Resistance: $241.02, $248.17, $254.93.

What are insiders doing with PGR?

Insider activity: SELLING, 0 buys and 7 sells in the last 90 days.

What is the latest news on PGR?

Nov 10, 2026: Progressive launches Snapshot Pro commercial telematics program · Nov 6, 2026: Progressive Corp filed an insider trading report (Form 4) · Nov 5, 2026: Mizuho sets new $242 valuation level for Progressive