AnalysisNews

NVAX today

$9.98-$0.22 (-2.16%)close Nov 11, 2026

Trend

DailyUptrend (starting)

4 hourStrong Bearish

1 hourBearish

15 minSymmetric Triangle

5 minStrong Bullish

Daily trend turns down below $7.15

Key levels

Resistance$13.38

Resistance$11.20

Support$9.39

Support$8.30

Latest news & SEC filings

AnalystB. Riley Sets $16 Target for Novavax

AnalystB. Riley Securities keeps Buy rating on Novavax, cuts price target to $16

All NVAX news →

About Novavax

Novavax is a biotechnology company that develops vaccines using its recombinant protein nanoparticle technology and Matrix-M adjuvant. Its COVID-19 shot has received regulatory clearances in the United States, Europe, and various other countries, and its adjuvant is a component of a malaria vaccine. The company collaborates with partners such as Sanofi and Pfizer and serves governments and public health organizations globally.

Based on the company's 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026.

Nasdaq · Healthcare

NOVAVAX INC (NVAX)

$9.98-0.22 (-2.16%)
WATCHLISTGrade: BRisk: MEDIUM
1D5D1M1Y5YMaxSign up for all timeframes
10.0810.7711.4512.149.98Oct 9Oct 19Oct 27Nov 4
High10.36
Low9.89
Open10.28
Volume5.70M
Avg Vol7.83M
VWAP10.02
30d High12.82
30d Low9.40
30d Chg-5.85%

What Is the Price Target for NVAX?

SEPT Low Target

$8.00

SEPT Mid Target

$11.00

SEPT High Target

$16.00

Analyst Consensus

$11.00

Current: $9.96Upside: +10.4%Confidence: 65%Method: Analyst Consensus

Is NVAX a Buy or Sell Right Now?

64
Investability Score
WATCHLIST12-18 months
News summary · last 30 days
Oct 16▼ DownInsider sellLeadership2 articles
Novavax shares fell 11.41% on Monday, closing at $11.26 after opening at $12.71 and trading as low as $11.11 on volume of roughly 9.7 million shares. The decline followed news that Shah Capital cut its stake to 6.39%, selling 2.87 million shares at an average price of $11.35, and filed to voluntarily withdraw its registration as an investment adviser with the SEC effective October 16. Shah Capital also stated it no longer holds Novavax shares with the purpose of influencing control and intends to report on Schedule 13G going forward, signaling a reduced activist role. The combination of insider selling and the shift away from an influential position weighed on sentiment, pushing the stock sharply lower.
Critical news
Nov 5HIGHEarnings: growth/beat

Thesis

  • •Revenue growing 64.7% YoY with ACCELERATING trend — accelerating momentum.

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Is NVAX Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Verdict

FAIR

Methods Used

Analyst Consensus

Fair Value

$11.00

17

Moat Score

NONE

5/9

Piotroski Score

-1.9

Altman Z-Score

What Is Smart Money Doing with NVAX?

Insider Signal

NEUTRAL

0 buys / 0 sells (90d)

Congress Signal

NEUTRAL

0 buys / 0 sells (90d)

Institutional

N/A

Short Squeeze Risk

HIGH

Signal: HIGH_SHORT_INTEREST

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NVAX Growth Story

Revenue YoY

64.7%

3yr Revenue CAGR

-17.2%

EPS Growth YoY

309.76%

FCF Growth YoY

N/A%

Revenue Trend

ACCELERATING

Dark Pool Trades for NVAX

PREVIEW

SEPT Investing tracks real-time dark pool institutional trades for NVAX, including block trade sizes, dollar values, and buy/sell side classification. Dark pool trades reveal where institutional investors are positioning before moves become visible on public exchanges.

TimePriceSizeValueSide
13:17:33$9.881,194$$12KSELL
13:05:15$9.932,199$$22KSELL
22:03:53$9.971,500$$15KSELL
22:03:39$9.971,500$$15KSELL
21:26:18$9.9882,611$$824KSELL

5 dark pool trades shown · $$888K preview volume

Real-time institutional flow, block trades, and net positioning

See all dark pool activity

Options Flow for NVAX

PREVIEW

SEPT Investing provides real-time options flow tracking for NVAX, including unusual sweep detection, block trades, and dealer positioning. Each trade shows strike, expiry, premium, implied volatility, and greek values for informed decision-making.

TypeStrikeExpiryDTEPremiumSizeTrade
CALL$20Jan 1565$$101SWEEP
CALL$12Nov 132$$21SWEEP
CALL$12Nov 132$$21SWEEP
CALL$12Nov 132$$21SWEEP
CALL$12Nov 132$$21SWEEP

5 options trades shown · 100% calls

Unusual activity, GEX levels, max pain, and dealer positioning

See full options flow

Full AI Research Report

SEPT's Trading AI has generated a free, downloadable PDF research report for NOVAVAX INC (NVAX) covering valuation analysis, financial health assessment, growth projections, smart money tracking, earnings and key price levels. For research only, not investment advice.

Report includes: PDF download, detailed valuation models (DCF, P/E, EV/EBITDA), institutional flow analysis, congress and insider trade tracking, FinBERT news sentiment (1 articles analyzed), and SEC filing intelligence...

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NVAX — frequently asked questions

What is NVAX stock price today?

NOVAVAX INC (NVAX) is at $9.98, down 2.16% (-$0.22) at the Nov 11, 2026 close.

Why is NVAX stock moving today?

Latest NVAX news — Nov 7, 2026: B. Riley Sets $16 Target for Novavax · Nov 6, 2026: B. Riley Securities keeps Buy rating on Novavax, cuts price target to $16

Why did NVAX stock move on Oct 16, 2026?

Novavax shares fell 11.41% on Monday, closing at $11.26 after opening at $12.71 and trading as low as $11.11 on volume of roughly 9.7 million shares. The decline followed news that Shah Capital cut its stake to 6.39%, selling 2.87 million shares at an average price of $11.35, and filed to voluntarily withdraw its registration as an investment adviser with the SEC effective October 16.

What is the NVAX price target?

The average analyst price target for NVAX is $11.00, ranging from $8 to $16, based on 3 analysts.

What do analysts rate NVAX?

Analyst ratings for NVAX: 0 Buy, 5 Hold, 0 Sell — consensus Hold.

Did NVAX beat earnings?

NVAX last reported on Nov 5, 2026: EPS -$0.19 vs -$0.35 expected — a beat of 45.1%.

Does NVAX pay a dividend?

NVAX does not currently pay a dividend.

How much debt does NVAX have?

NOVAVAX INC reported $292M of debt and $222M of cash (Sep 30, 2026).

What are NVAX support and resistance levels?

Support: $9.39, $8.30, $7.15. Resistance: $11.20, $13.38.

What are insiders doing with NVAX?

Insider activity: NEUTRAL, 0 buys and 0 sells in the last 90 days.

What is the latest news on NVAX?

Nov 7, 2026: B. Riley Sets $16 Target for Novavax · Nov 6, 2026: B. Riley Securities keeps Buy rating on Novavax, cuts price target to $16