AnalysisNews

HOG today

$33.77-$0.20 (-0.57%)close Nov 12, 2026

Trend

DailyUptrend (starting)

4 hourStrong Bullish

1 hourSymmetric Triangle

15 minSymmetric Triangle

5 minDescending Triangle

Daily trend turns down below $24.00

Key levels

Resistance$36.94

Resistance$34.84

Support$33.16

Support$31.25

Latest news & SEC filings

SEC FilingHarley-Davidson, Inc. filed an insider trading report (Form 4)

DealHarley-Davidson picks Horizon Global as growth partner

NewsHarley-Davidson files shelf registration

DealHarley-Davidson files mixed shelf prospectus

All HOG news →

About Harley-Davidson

Harley-Davidson builds and sells motorcycles, chiefly large internal combustion models, plus parts, accessories, clothing, and licensed goods. Its motorcycles reach buyers through independent dealers and distributors across North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. A separate unit, LiveWire, offers electric motorcycles and balance bikes through retail partners and direct online sales. Another segment supplies dealer inventory financing, consumer loans, insurance, and related services, mostly within North America.

Based on the company's 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026.

NYSE · Consumer Cyclical

HARLEY-DAVIDSON, INC. (HOG)

$33.77-0.20 (-0.57%)
HOLDGrade: CRisk: LOW
1D5D1M1Y5YMaxSign up for all timeframes
26.5628.5730.5732.5833.77Oct 12Oct 20Oct 28Nov 5
High34.25
Low33.55
Open33.79
Volume48K
Avg Vol2.18M
VWAP33.82
30d High34.59
30d Low24.55
30d Chg+37.54%

What Is the Price Target for HOG?

SEPT Low Target

$17.00

SEPT Mid Target

$30.00

SEPT High Target

$37.00

Analyst Consensus

$30.00

Current: $34.25Upside: -12.4%Confidence: 85%Method: Analyst Consensus

Is HOG a Buy or Sell Right Now?

40
Investability Score
HOLD12-18 months
News summary · last 30 days
Nov 6▲ UpDilution2 articles
Harley-Davidson shares closed at $32.66, up 2.13% on the day, trading between $31.80 and $32.95 on volume of 1,751,791. The company filed a mixed shelf prospectus and an automatic shelf registration (Form S-3ASR), registering securities for possible future sale. While these filings introduce potential dilution risk, the stock still finished higher, suggesting the market did not react negatively to the news today.
Critical news
Oct 29HIGHEarnings: decline/miss
Oct 29HIGHEarnings: decline/miss

Thesis

  • •Revenue growing -13.8% YoY with DECLINING trend — consistent growth.

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Is HOG Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Verdict

FAIR

Methods Used

P/E Forward, P/B, Analyst Consensus

Fair Value

$32.09

6

Moat Score

NONE

7/9

Piotroski Score

N/A

Altman Z-Score

What Is Smart Money Doing with HOG?

Insider Signal

SELLING

3 buys / 7 sells (90d)

Congress Signal

BUYING

4 buys / 1 sells (90d)

Institutional

N/A

Short Squeeze Risk

LOW

Signal: NEUTRAL

Recent Insider Activity

NameTitleTypeSharesValueDate
Root Jonathan RofficerSale1,559$38KOct 1, 2026
NOVA DANIEL JdirectorBuy5,168-Sep 24, 2026
Root Jonathan RofficerSale1,554$43KSep 1, 2026
Root Jonathan RofficerSale1,554$37KJun 1, 2026
Reintjes Matthew JdirectorBuy2,479-May 21, 2026
NOVA DANIEL JdirectorBuy4,742-May 21, 2026
Root Jonathan RofficerSale1,554$38KMay 19, 2026
Flees Lori AnndirectorBuy6,015-May 14, 2026
Masood RafehdirectorBuy6,015-May 14, 2026
Sylvester MaryrosedirectorBuy6,015-May 14, 2026

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HOG Growth Story

Revenue YoY

-13.8%

3yr Revenue CAGR

-8.1%

EPS Growth YoY

-19.19%

FCF Growth YoY

-52.1%

Revenue Trend

DECLINING

Dark Pool Trades for HOG

PREVIEW

SEPT Investing tracks real-time dark pool institutional trades for HOG, including block trade sizes, dollar values, and buy/sell side classification. Dark pool trades reveal where institutional investors are positioning before moves become visible on public exchanges.

TimePriceSizeValueSide
14:30:55$33.941,200$$41KMIDPOINT
22:25:52$33.9619,200$$652KSELL
21:00:34$33.961,222$$41KSELL
21:00:29$33.961,171$$40KSELL
21:00:29$33.9615,000$$509KSELL

5 dark pool trades shown · $$1.3M preview volume

Real-time institutional flow, block trades, and net positioning

See all dark pool activity

What Traders Are Saying About HOG

1 posts

SEPT Investing hosts an active community of 3,500+ traders sharing real-time analysis, trade setups, and market discussion for HOG. Join verified traders discussing price action, dark pool alerts, options flow, and AI-powered market intelligence.

S
Sarah MitchellVERIFIED98d ago

Zone Setup — $HOG (HARLEY-DAVIDSON, INC.) Price: $26.18 | Zone: $25.59 — $28.49 Conviction: HIGH | Analyst upside: +6.4% Near support (20% of range) — reversal watch. Strong positive news (5+ vs 0-)

149 views

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Full AI Research Report

SEPT's Trading AI has generated a free, downloadable PDF research report for HARLEY-DAVIDSON, INC. (HOG) covering valuation analysis, financial health assessment, growth projections, smart money tracking, earnings and key price levels. For research only, not investment advice.

Report includes: PDF download, detailed valuation models (DCF, P/E, EV/EBITDA), institutional flow analysis, congress and insider trade tracking, FinBERT news sentiment (4 articles analyzed), and SEC filing intelligence...

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HOG — frequently asked questions

What is HOG stock price today?

HARLEY-DAVIDSON, INC. (HOG) is at $33.77, down 0.57% (-$0.20) at the Nov 12, 2026 close.

Why is HOG stock moving today?

Latest HOG news — Nov 9, 2026: Harley-Davidson, Inc. filed an insider trading report (Form 4) · Nov 9, 2026: Harley-Davidson picks Horizon Global as growth partner

Why did HOG stock move on Nov 6, 2026?

Harley-Davidson shares closed at $32.66, up 2.13% on the day, trading between $31.80 and $32.95 on volume of 1,751,791. The company filed a mixed shelf prospectus and an automatic shelf registration (Form S-3ASR), registering securities for possible future sale.

What is the HOG price target?

The average analyst price target for HOG is $30.00, ranging from $17 to $37, based on 7 analysts. Latest: Citigroup maintains on Oct 30, 2026.

What do analysts rate HOG?

Analyst ratings for HOG: 2 Buy, 11 Hold, 0 Sell — consensus Hold.

Did HOG beat earnings?

HOG last reported on Oct 29, 2026: EPS $0.40 vs $0.47 expected — a miss of 15.6%.

Does HOG pay a dividend?

Yes. HOG's dividend yield is 3.51%.

How much debt does HOG have?

HARLEY-DAVIDSON, INC. reported $1.9B of debt and $2.1B of cash (Sep 30, 2026).

What are HOG support and resistance levels?

Support: $33.16, $31.25, $29.88. Resistance: $34.84, $36.94, $38.63.

What are insiders doing with HOG?

Insider activity: SELLING, 3 buys and 7 sells in the last 90 days.

What is the latest news on HOG?

Nov 9, 2026: Harley-Davidson, Inc. filed an insider trading report (Form 4) · Nov 9, 2026: Harley-Davidson picks Horizon Global as growth partner · Nov 6, 2026: Harley-Davidson files shelf registration