AnalysisNews

HLMN today

$8.02-$0.15 (-1.84%)close Nov 11, 2026

Trend

DailyUptrend (confirmed)

4 hourStrong Bearish

1 hourLeaning Bearish

15 minStrong Bearish

5 minDescending Triangle

Daily trend turns down below $7.08

Key levels

Resistance$8.48

Resistance$8.12

Support$7.46

Support$7.08

Latest news & SEC filings

AnalystNov 5, 2026Barclays keeps Equal-Weight rating on Hillman Solutions, cuts target to $10

AnalystNov 4, 2026Canaccord Genuity keeps Buy rating on Hillman Solutions, cuts target to $12

All HLMN news →

About Hillman

Hillman supplies hardware-related products and merchandising services to retailers across North America. Its offerings include fasteners, builders hardware, threaded rod, keys, rope and chain, personal protective equipment, and identification items. The company also provides robotic key duplication and engraving kiosks, along with in-store inventory and display support. Customers include independent and chain retailers, big-box home improvement outlets, pet supply chains, and grocery and drug retailers.

Based on the company's 10-K filed Feb 17, 2026.

Nasdaq · Industrials

Hillman Solutions Corp. (HLMN)

$8.02-0.15 (-1.84%)
WATCHLISTGrade: ARisk: LOW
1D5D1M1Y5YMaxSign up for all timeframes
7.317.688.048.418.02Oct 9Oct 19Oct 27Nov 4
High8.22
Low8.01
Open8.15
Volume1.28M
Avg Vol1.91M
VWAP8.08
30d High8.78
30d Low6.94
30d Chg+15.56%
See full chart with real-time data

What Is the Price Target for HLMN?

SEPT Low Target

$10.00

SEPT Mid Target

$11.00

SEPT High Target

$12.00

Analyst Consensus

$11.00

Current: $8.08Upside: +36.2%Confidence: 40%Method: Analyst Consensus

Is HLMN a Buy or Sell Right Now?

81
Investability Score
WATCHLIST12-18 months
News summary · last 30 days
Nov 2▲ UpEarnings4 articles
Hillman Solutions shares closed up 5.80% at $8.39 after the company reported third-quarter adjusted profit of $0.22 per share, topping the $0.21 estimate, though revenue of $457.488 million missed the $461.005 million estimate. The company highlighted 19.2% growth in its robotics and digital solutions unit, while also cutting its FY2026 sales outlook to $1.660B-$1.680B from a prior $1.670B-$1.720B range, with the new midpoint below the $1.683B estimate. A Form 8-K filing on a major company event added to the day's news flow. Despite the reduced forward sales guidance, the earnings beat and strong segment growth appear to have driven the stock higher.

Thesis

  • •Revenue growing 5.4% YoY with ACCELERATING trend — accelerating momentum.
  • •SEC filings signal active product innovation — 3 new product/expansion keywords detected in 10-K. R&D investment rising.

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Is HLMN Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Verdict

UNDERVALUED

Methods Used

P/E Forward, P/B, PEG, Analyst Consensus

Fair Value

$20.73

34

Moat Score

NONE

7/9

Piotroski Score

1.8

Altman Z-Score

What Is Smart Money Doing with HLMN?

Insider Signal

NEUTRAL

1 buys / 3 sells (90d)

Congress Signal

NEUTRAL

0 buys / 0 sells (90d)

Institutional

N/A

Short Squeeze Risk

LOW

Signal: NEUTRAL

Recent Insider Activity

NameTitleTypeSharesValueDate
Kraft Robert O.officerBuy35,500$249KSep 11, 2026
Kitzberger AmandaofficerSale13,750$100KSep 9, 2026
Adinolfi Jon Michaeldirector officerSale67,253$491KJun 7, 2026
O Leary DandirectorBuy19,257-Jun 4, 2026
Owens David A.directorBuy19,257-Jun 4, 2026
Honda DianedirectorBuy19,257-Jun 4, 2026
Woodlief PhilipdirectorBuy19,257-Jun 4, 2026
Gendron Teresa SdirectorBuy19,257-Jun 4, 2026
Dowling DianadirectorBuy19,257-Jun 4, 2026
Jagdfeld AarondirectorBuy19,257-Jun 4, 2026

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HLMN Growth Story

Revenue YoY

5.4%

3yr Revenue CAGR

1.5%

EPS Growth YoY

122.22%

FCF Growth YoY

-64.2%

Revenue Trend

ACCELERATING

Dark Pool Trades for HLMN

PREVIEW

SEPT Investing tracks real-time dark pool institutional trades for HLMN, including block trade sizes, dollar values, and buy/sell side classification. Dark pool trades reveal where institutional investors are positioning before moves become visible on public exchanges.

TimePriceSizeValueSide
12:00:11$8.0014,250$$114KBUY
22:25:52$8.0239,100$$314KBUY
21:11:53$8.081,483$$12KBUY
21:00:10$8.021,549$$12KSELL
21:00:10$8.022,979$$24KSELL

5 dark pool trades shown · $$476K preview volume

Real-time institutional flow, block trades, and net positioning

See all dark pool activity

Full AI Research Report

SEPT's Trading AI has generated a free, downloadable PDF research report for Hillman Solutions Corp. (HLMN) covering valuation analysis, financial health assessment, growth projections, smart money tracking, earnings and key price levels. For research only, not investment advice.

Report includes: PDF download, detailed valuation models (DCF, P/E, EV/EBITDA), institutional flow analysis, congress and insider trade tracking, FinBERT news sentiment (1 articles analyzed), and SEC filing intelligence...

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Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.

HLMN — frequently asked questions

What is HLMN stock price today?

Hillman Solutions Corp. (HLMN) is at $8.02, down 1.84% (-$0.15) at the Nov 11, 2026 close.

Why is HLMN stock moving today?

Latest HLMN news — Nov 5, 2026: Barclays keeps Equal-Weight rating on Hillman Solutions, cuts target to $10 · Nov 4, 2026: Canaccord Genuity keeps Buy rating on Hillman Solutions, cuts target to $12

Why did HLMN stock move on Nov 2, 2026?

Hillman Solutions shares closed up 5.80% at $8.39 after the company reported third-quarter adjusted profit of $0.22 per share, topping the $0.21 estimate, though revenue of $457.488 million missed the $461.005 million estimate. The company highlighted 19.2% growth in its robotics and digital solutions unit, while also cutting its FY2026 sales outlook to $1.660B-$1.680B from a prior $1.670B-$1.720B range, with the new midpoint below the $1.683B estimate.

What is the HLMN price target?

The average analyst price target for HLMN is $11.00, ranging from $10 to $12, based on 2 analysts. Latest: Barclays maintains on Nov 5, 2026.

What do analysts rate HLMN?

Analyst ratings for HLMN: 0 Buy, 5 Hold, 0 Sell — consensus Hold.

Did HLMN beat earnings?

HLMN last reported on Nov 2, 2026: EPS $0.22 vs $0.21 expected — a beat of 6.1%.

What is HLMN's P/E ratio?

HLMN trades at a P/E of 69.3 vs a Industrials average of 24.4.

Does HLMN pay a dividend?

HLMN does not currently pay a dividend.

How much debt does HLMN have?

Hillman Solutions Corp. reported $941M of debt and $35M of cash (Sep 26, 2026).

What are HLMN support and resistance levels?

Support: $7.46, $7.08, $6.66. Resistance: $8.12, $8.48, $9.05.

What are insiders doing with HLMN?

Insider activity: NEUTRAL, 1 buys and 3 sells in the last 90 days.

What is the latest news on HLMN?

Nov 5, 2026: Barclays keeps Equal-Weight rating on Hillman Solutions, cuts target to $10 · Nov 4, 2026: Canaccord Genuity keeps Buy rating on Hillman Solutions, cuts target to $12