AnalysisNews

GEO today

$32.22-$0.50 (-1.53%)close Nov 12, 2026

Trend

DailyDowntrend (confirmed)

4 hourExpanding

1 hourBearish

15 minBearish

5 minSymmetric Triangle

Daily trend turns up above $32.31

Key levels

Resistance$32.31

Support$29.54

Support$26.16

Latest news & SEC filings

AnalystJones Trading kept its Buy rating on GEO Group (GEO) and raised its price target to $42.75 from $40.

All GEO news →

About GEO Group

GEO Group owns, leases, and manages secure facilities, processing centers, and reentry facilities, and provides community-based services. It operates through four segments: U.S. Secure Services, Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services, Reentry Services, and International Services. Customers are government agencies at the federal, state, and local levels in the United States, Australia, and South Africa. Services include facility management, electronic monitoring, secure transportation, and reentry programming.

Based on the company's 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026.

NYSE · Industrials

GEO GROUP INC (GEO)

$32.22-0.50 (-1.53%)
WATCHLISTGrade: ARisk: LOW
1D5D1M1Y5YMaxSign up for all timeframes
26.6828.1929.7031.2132.22Oct 12Oct 20Oct 28Nov 5
High32.95
Low32.15
Open32.52
Volume1.53M
Avg Vol2.20M
VWAP32.40
30d High32.72
30d Low25.17
30d Chg+2.74%

What Is the Price Target for GEO?

SEPT Low Target

$40.00

SEPT Mid Target

$41.38

SEPT High Target

$42.75

Analyst Consensus

$41.38

Current: $31.73Upside: +30.4%Confidence: 40%Method: Analyst Consensus

Is GEO a Buy or Sell Right Now?

78
Investability Score
WATCHLIST12-18 months
News summary · last 30 days
Critical news
Nov 5HIGHEarnings: growth/beat

Thesis

  • •Revenue growing 8.6% YoY with ACCELERATING trend — accelerating momentum.

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Is GEO Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Verdict

UNDERVALUED

Methods Used

P/E Forward, P/B, PEG, Analyst Consensus

Fair Value

$42.95

30

Moat Score

NONE

5/9

Piotroski Score

N/A

Altman Z-Score

What Is Smart Money Doing with GEO?

Insider Signal

NEUTRAL

0 buys / 1 sells (90d)

Congress Signal

NEUTRAL

0 buys / 0 sells (90d)

Institutional

N/A

Short Squeeze Risk

MEDIUM

Signal: NEUTRAL

Track Smart Money Across 4,000+ Stocks

Insider trades, congress trades, institutional flows, and short interest — updated daily with real-time alerts.

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GEO Growth Story

Revenue YoY

8.6%

3yr Revenue CAGR

3.5%

EPS Growth YoY

727.27%

FCF Growth YoY

-176.4%

Revenue Trend

ACCELERATING

Dark Pool Trades for GEO

PREVIEW

SEPT Investing tracks real-time dark pool institutional trades for GEO, including block trade sizes, dollar values, and buy/sell side classification. Dark pool trades reveal where institutional investors are positioning before moves become visible on public exchanges.

TimePriceSizeValueSide
21:10:09$32.211,000$$32KBUY
21:00:45$32.223,659$$118KSELL
21:00:22$32.221,035$$33KSELL
21:00:21$32.222,400$$77KSELL
21:00:21$32.221,779$$57KSELL

5 dark pool trades shown · $$318K preview volume

Real-time institutional flow, block trades, and net positioning

See all dark pool activity

Options Flow for GEO

PREVIEW

SEPT Investing provides real-time options flow tracking for GEO, including unusual sweep detection, block trades, and dealer positioning. Each trade shows strike, expiry, premium, implied volatility, and greek values for informed decision-making.

TypeStrikeExpiryDTEPremiumSizeTrade
PUT$26Nov 208$$500100BLOCK
PUT$27Nov 208$$51SWEEP
CALL$40Jan 1564$$4500100BLOCK
PUT$32Dec 1836$$1451SWEEP
PUT$26Jan 1564$$1203SWEEP

5 options trades shown · 20% calls

Unusual activity, GEX levels, max pain, and dealer positioning

See full options flow

Full AI Research Report

SEPT's Trading AI has generated a free, downloadable PDF research report for GEO GROUP INC (GEO) covering valuation analysis, financial health assessment, growth projections, smart money tracking, earnings and key price levels. For research only, not investment advice.

Report includes: PDF download, detailed valuation models (DCF, P/E, EV/EBITDA), institutional flow analysis, congress and insider trade tracking, FinBERT news sentiment (1 articles analyzed), and SEC filing intelligence...

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GEO — frequently asked questions

What is GEO stock price today?

GEO GROUP INC (GEO) is at $32.22, down 1.53% (-$0.50) at the Nov 12, 2026 close.

Why is GEO stock moving today?

Latest GEO news — Nov 5, 2026: Jones Trading kept its Buy rating on GEO Group (GEO) and raised its price target to $42.75 from $40.

What is the GEO price target?

The average analyst price target for GEO is $41.38, ranging from $40 to $43, based on 2 analysts. Latest: Jones Trading maintains on Nov 5, 2026.

What do analysts rate GEO?

Analyst ratings for GEO: 0 Buy, 3 Hold, 0 Sell — consensus Hold.

Did GEO beat earnings?

GEO last reported on Nov 5, 2026: EPS $0.39 vs $0.35 expected — a beat of 12.5%.

What is GEO's P/E ratio?

GEO trades at a P/E of 26.2 vs a Industrials average of 25.5.

Does GEO pay a dividend?

GEO does not currently pay a dividend.

What are GEO support and resistance levels?

Support: $29.54, $26.16, $22.52. Resistance: $32.31.

What are insiders doing with GEO?

Insider activity: NEUTRAL, 0 buys and 1 sells in the last 90 days.

What is the latest news on GEO?

Nov 5, 2026: Jones Trading kept its Buy rating on GEO Group (GEO) and raised its price target to $42.75 from $40.