AnalysisNews

FWRG today

$13.18+$0.24 (+1.85%)close Nov 13, 2026

Trend

DailyUptrend (starting)

4 hourLeaning Bullish

1 hourExpanding

15 minBullish

5 minStrong Bullish

Daily trend turns down below $9.88

Key levels

Resistance$15.21

Resistance$14.11

Support$12.74

Support$11.63

Latest news & SEC filings

No headlines in the last 90 days.

About First Watch

First Watch runs a chain of daytime restaurants that focus on morning and midday meals, preparing dishes to order from fresh ingredients and offering juices and rotating seasonal items. The company owns most of its locations and also licenses some to franchise operators. Diners looking for breakfast, brunch or lunch make up its customer base, and its restaurants are spread across many U.S. states, with a concentration in the Southeast.

Based on the company's 10-K filed Feb 24, 2026.

Nasdaq · Other

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG)

$13.18+0.24 (+1.85%)
WATCHLISTGrade: B+Risk: MEDIUM
1D5D1M1Y5YMaxSign up for all timeframes
11.1711.8412.5113.1813.18Oct 13Oct 21Oct 29Nov 6
High13.22
Low12.64
Open12.93
Volume1.09M
Avg Vol1.83M
VWAP13.06
30d High13.85
30d Low10.50
30d Chg+25.40%

What Is the Price Target for FWRG?

SEPT Low Target

$15.00

SEPT Mid Target

$18.00

SEPT High Target

$22.00

Analyst Consensus

$18.00

Current: $13.18Upside: +36.6%Confidence: 85%Method: Analyst Consensus

Is FWRG a Buy or Sell Right Now?

70
Investability Score
WATCHLIST12-18 months
News summary · last 30 days
Nov 3▲ UpEarnings3 articles
First Watch Restaurant Group released its Q3 2026 financial results and held its quarterly earnings call, while also narrowing its full-year 2026 sales outlook to $1.388 billion from a prior range of $1.375 billion to $1.394 billion. The trimmed guidance matches the analyst estimate, suggesting the update was largely in line with expectations. Despite the neutral tone of the news, FWRG shares closed at $13.63, up 4.01% on the day, with the stock trading between a low of $13.02 and a high of $14.11 on volume of 3,377,615. The positive price action indicates investors took the results and guidance in stride, though the headlines alone provide no clear directional catalyst.
Critical news
Nov 3HIGHEarnings: growth/beat

Thesis

  • •Revenue growing 20.3% YoY with STRONG trend — consistent growth.

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Is FWRG Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Verdict

OVERVALUED

Methods Used

P/E Forward, P/B, Analyst Consensus

Fair Value

$13.91

21

Moat Score

NONE

4/9

Piotroski Score

1.1

Altman Z-Score

What Is Smart Money Doing with FWRG?

Insider Signal

SELLING

0 buys / 11 sells (90d)

Congress Signal

BUYING

2 buys / 0 sells (90d)

Institutional

N/A

Short Squeeze Risk

LOW

Signal: NEUTRAL

Recent Insider Activity

NameTitleTypeSharesValueDate
Weisser Ashlee SuzanneofficerBuy26,595-Jun 8, 2026
Britt Irene ChangdirectorBuy12,345-May 21, 2026
FLEISHER MICHAEL DdirectorBuy12,345-May 21, 2026
Alvarez RalphdirectorBuy17,636-May 21, 2026
Solheim JosteindirectorBuy12,345-May 21, 2026
Tipograph Rachel KdirectorBuy12,345-May 21, 2026
Jemley CharlesdirectorBuy12,345-May 21, 2026
Lilak StephaniedirectorBuy12,345-May 21, 2026
Kussell William AdirectorBuy12,345-May 21, 2026

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FWRG Growth Story

Revenue YoY

20.3%

3yr Revenue CAGR

18.7%

EPS Growth YoY

3.33%

FCF Growth YoY

-153.2%

Revenue Trend

STRONG

Dark Pool Trades for FWRG

PREVIEW

SEPT Investing tracks real-time dark pool institutional trades for FWRG, including block trade sizes, dollar values, and buy/sell side classification. Dark pool trades reveal where institutional investors are positioning before moves become visible on public exchanges.

TimePriceSizeValueSide
21:39:40$13.181,024$$13KBUY
21:00:29$13.182,060$$27KSELL
21:00:28$13.185,563$$73KSELL
21:00:28$13.184,500$$59KSELL
21:00:02$13.181,200$$16KSELL

5 dark pool trades shown · $$189K preview volume

Real-time institutional flow, block trades, and net positioning

See all dark pool activity

Full AI Research Report

SEPT's Trading AI has generated a free, downloadable PDF research report for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) covering valuation analysis, financial health assessment, growth projections, smart money tracking, earnings and key price levels. For research only, not investment advice.

Report includes: PDF download, detailed valuation models (DCF, P/E, EV/EBITDA), institutional flow analysis, congress and insider trade tracking, FinBERT news sentiment (1 articles analyzed), and SEC filing intelligence...

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FWRG — frequently asked questions

What is FWRG stock price today?

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) is at $13.18, up 1.85% (+$0.24) at the Nov 13, 2026 close.

Why did FWRG stock move on Nov 3, 2026?

First Watch Restaurant Group released its Q3 2026 financial results and held its quarterly earnings call, while also narrowing its full-year 2026 sales outlook to $1.388 billion from a prior range of $1.375 billion to $1.394 billion. The trimmed guidance matches the analyst estimate, suggesting the update was largely in line with expectations.

What is the FWRG price target?

The average analyst price target for FWRG is $18.00, ranging from $15 to $22, based on 9 analysts.

What do analysts rate FWRG?

Analyst ratings for FWRG: 0 Buy, 13 Hold, 0 Sell — consensus Hold.

Did FWRG beat earnings?

FWRG last reported on Nov 3, 2026: EPS $0.08 vs $0.04 expected — a beat of 105.7%.

What is FWRG's P/E ratio?

FWRG trades at a P/E of 42.2 vs a Other average of 14.1.

Does FWRG pay a dividend?

FWRG does not currently pay a dividend.

How much debt does FWRG have?

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. reported $275M of debt and $21M of cash (Sep 27, 2026).

What are FWRG support and resistance levels?

Support: $12.74, $11.63, $10.65. Resistance: $14.11, $15.21, $16.39.

What are insiders doing with FWRG?

Insider activity: SELLING, 0 buys and 11 sells in the last 90 days.