AnalysisNews

FOSL today

$8.50-$0.24 (-2.75%)close Nov 13, 2026

Trend

DailyDowntrend (starting)

4 hourAscending Triangle

1 hourStrong Bearish

15 minStrong Bearish

5 minStrong Bearish

Daily trend turns up above $7.39

Key levels

Resistance$9.81

Resistance$9.01

Support$8.25

Support$7.39

Latest news & SEC filings

DealFossil and Nick Jonas extend their global partnership

All FOSL news →

About Fossil

Fossil creates and sells fashion accessories, with timepieces as its main category, plus adornments, bags, wallets, straps and eyewear. Its portfolio mixes labels it owns itself with names it licenses from other fashion houses, including several European designer and American lifestyle brands. Shoppers buy these goods across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa and Asia via wholesale partners, distributors, its own shops and online channels.

Based on the company's 10-K filed Mar 12, 2026.

Nasdaq · Consumer Cyclical

Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL)

$8.50-0.24 (-2.75%)
WATCHLISTGrade: BRisk: LOW
1D5D1M1Y5YMaxSign up for all timeframes
7.127.838.559.268.50Oct 13Oct 21Oct 29Nov 6
High8.72
Low8.36
Open8.56
Volume400K
Avg Vol1.06M
VWAP8.53
30d High9.97
30d Low6.41
30d Chg+17.73%

What Is the Price Target for FOSL?

SEPT Low Target

$10.00

SEPT Mid Target

$10.00

SEPT High Target

$10.00

Analyst Consensus

$10.00

Current: $8.70Upside: +14.9%Confidence: 40%Method: Analyst Consensus

Is FOSL a Buy or Sell Right Now?

59
Investability Score
WATCHLIST12-18 months
News summary · last 30 days
Nov 10▲ UpEarningsContractProduct5 articles
Fossil Group reported third-quarter adjusted earnings of $0.23 per share, well above the $(0.04) consensus, with revenue of $271.2 million also beating the $248.658 million projection. The company lifted its FY2026 sales outlook to $980M-$990M, above the $965.505 million estimate, and announced a five-year extension of its Diesel licensing deal plus a continued partnership with Nick Jonas through 2028. Despite these bullish catalysts, the stock closed down 2.36% at $7.87, trading between a low of $7.53 and a high of $8.15 on volume of 1,147,055. The positive earnings and raised guidance signal an upward direction, though the day's price decline suggests the market may have already priced in some of the good news.
Critical news
Nov 10HIGHEarnings: growth/beat

Thesis

  • •Revenue growing -12.3% YoY with ACCELERATING trend — accelerating momentum.

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Is FOSL Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Verdict

OVERVALUED

Methods Used

P/B, Analyst Consensus

Fair Value

$8.29

30

Moat Score

NONE

3/9

Piotroski Score

N/A

Altman Z-Score

What Is Smart Money Doing with FOSL?

Insider Signal

NEUTRAL

2 buys / 0 sells (90d)

Congress Signal

NEUTRAL

0 buys / 0 sells (90d)

Institutional

N/A

Short Squeeze Risk

HIGH

Signal: HIGH_SHORT_INTEREST

Recent Insider Activity

NameTitleTypeSharesValueDate
Lowenkron Melissa BofficerBuy65,217-Oct 15, 2026
Greben Randy JofficerBuy65,217-Oct 15, 2026
Fogliato Francodirector officerSale295,125$2.0MOct 15, 2026
Nair ChandhudirectorBuy16,284-Oct 2, 2026
Edwards Pamela JdirectorBuy16,284-Oct 2, 2026
Rey MarcdirectorBuy16,284-Oct 2, 2026
Coulter Suzanne MdirectorBuy16,284-Oct 2, 2026
DiGrande SebastiandirectorBuy16,284-Oct 2, 2026
Schoppert Wendy LeedirectorBuy16,284-Oct 2, 2026
Schoppert Wendy LeedirectorBuy24,331$101KMay 18, 2026

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FOSL Growth Story

Revenue YoY

-12.3%

3yr Revenue CAGR

-15.8%

EPS Growth YoY

25.26%

FCF Growth YoY

-251.4%

Revenue Trend

ACCELERATING

Dark Pool Trades for FOSL

PREVIEW

SEPT Investing tracks real-time dark pool institutional trades for FOSL, including block trade sizes, dollar values, and buy/sell side classification. Dark pool trades reveal where institutional investors are positioning before moves become visible on public exchanges.

TimePriceSizeValueSide
16:30:52$8.621,061$$9KBUY
16:21:08$8.531,000$$9KSELL
16:19:53$8.551,200$$10KBUY
16:05:34$8.421,250$$11KBUY
16:02:12$8.441,338$$11KBUY

5 dark pool trades shown · $$50K preview volume

Real-time institutional flow, block trades, and net positioning

See all dark pool activity

Options Flow for FOSL

PREVIEW

SEPT Investing provides real-time options flow tracking for FOSL, including unusual sweep detection, block trades, and dealer positioning. Each trade shows strike, expiry, premium, implied volatility, and greek values for informed decision-making.

TypeStrikeExpiryDTEPremiumSizeTrade
CALL$10Mar 19126$$230020SWEEP
CALL$10Mar 19126$$8808SWEEP

2 options trades shown · 100% calls

Unusual activity, GEX levels, max pain, and dealer positioning

See full options flow

Full AI Research Report

SEPT's Trading AI has generated a free, downloadable PDF research report for Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) covering valuation analysis, financial health assessment, growth projections, smart money tracking, earnings and key price levels. For research only, not investment advice.

Report includes: PDF download, detailed valuation models (DCF, P/E, EV/EBITDA), institutional flow analysis, congress and insider trade tracking, FinBERT news sentiment (5 articles analyzed), and SEC filing intelligence...

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FOSL — frequently asked questions

What is FOSL stock price today?

Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) is at $8.50, down 2.75% (-$0.24) at the Nov 13, 2026 close.

Why is FOSL stock moving today?

Latest FOSL news — Nov 12, 2026: Fossil and Nick Jonas extend their global partnership

Why did FOSL stock move on Nov 10, 2026?

Fossil Group reported third-quarter adjusted earnings of $0.23 per share, well above the $(0.04) consensus, with revenue of $271.2 million also beating the $248.658 million projection. The company lifted its FY2026 sales outlook to $980M-$990M, above the $965.505 million estimate, and announced a five-year extension of its Diesel licensing deal plus a continued partnership with Nick Jonas through 2028.

What is the FOSL price target?

The average analyst price target for FOSL is $10.00, ranging from $10 to $10, based on 1 analysts. Latest: Lake Street initiates on Oct 7, 2026.

What do analysts rate FOSL?

Analyst ratings for FOSL: 0 Buy, 1 Hold, 0 Sell — consensus Hold.

Did FOSL beat earnings?

FOSL last reported on Nov 10, 2026: EPS $0.23 vs -$0.04 expected — a beat of 675.0%.

Does FOSL pay a dividend?

FOSL does not currently pay a dividend.

How much debt does FOSL have?

Fossil Group, Inc. reported $203M of debt and $79M of cash (Jul 4, 2026).

What are FOSL support and resistance levels?

Support: $8.25, $7.39, $6.55. Resistance: $9.01, $9.81, $10.44.

What are insiders doing with FOSL?

Insider activity: NEUTRAL, 2 buys and 0 sells in the last 90 days.

What is the latest news on FOSL?

Nov 12, 2026: Fossil and Nick Jonas extend their global partnership