AnalysisNews

FLY today

$26.61+$2.91 (+12.28%)close Nov 11, 2026

Trend

DailyUptrend (starting)

4 hourStrong Bullish

1 hourStrong Bullish

15 minStrong Bullish

5 minExpanding

Daily trend turns down below $3.41

Key levels

Resistance$31.09

Resistance$28.20

Support$25.33

Support$23.41

Latest news & SEC filings

EarningsFirefly Aerospace Analysts Raise Forecasts After Stronger Q3 Results

AnalystBarclays keeps Equal-Weight on Firefly Aerospace, lifts target to $35

AnalystB. Riley Securities keeps Buy rating on Firefly Aerospace, lifts target to $54

All FLY news →

About Firefly Aerospace

Firefly Aerospace makes rockets and spacecraft serving defense agencies, civilian space programs, and private industry. Its launch lineup features the Alpha rocket and the reusable Eclipse vehicle, which is being built with Northrop Grumman. Spacecraft offerings include the Blue Ghost lunar lander and the Elytra orbital vehicle, plus defense software and data analysis capabilities gained through its SciTec acquisition. The company works from sites in Texas and operates launch pads in California, Virginia, and Sweden.

Based on the company's 10-K filed Mar 20, 2026.

Nasdaq · Industrials

Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY)

$26.61+2.91 (+12.28%)
WATCHLISTGrade: ARisk: MEDIUM
1D5D1M1Y5YMaxSign up for all timeframes
17.4619.7522.0424.3226.61Oct 9Oct 19Oct 27Nov 4
High26.71
Low23.62
Open23.79
Volume6.71M
Avg Vol3.64M
VWAP25.96
30d High26.61
30d Low15.18
30d Chg+16.46%

What Is the Price Target for FLY?

SEPT Low Target

$25.00

SEPT Mid Target

$35.00

SEPT High Target

$54.00

Analyst Consensus

$35.00

Current: $26.66Upside: +31.3%Confidence: 85%Method: Analyst Consensus

Is FLY a Buy or Sell Right Now?

79
Investability Score
WATCHLIST12-18 months

Thesis

  • •Revenue growing 162.9% YoY with ACCELERATING trend — accelerating momentum.

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Is FLY Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Verdict

UNDERVALUED

Methods Used

Analyst Consensus

Fair Value

$35.00

30

Moat Score

NONE

5/9

Piotroski Score

0.9

Altman Z-Score

What Is Smart Money Doing with FLY?

Insider Signal

NEUTRAL

0 buys / 2 sells (90d)

Congress Signal

NEUTRAL

0 buys / 0 sells (90d)

Institutional

N/A

Short Squeeze Risk

MEDIUM

Signal: NEUTRAL

Recent Insider Activity

NameTitleTypeSharesValueDate
Ambrose Richard FdirectorBuy6,716-Oct 5, 2026
Kim Jesungdirector officerBuy43,278$100KSep 22, 2026
Ma DarrenofficerBuy54,286$23KSep 17, 2026
Ma DarrenofficerBuy33,233$16KSep 17, 2026
Ma DarrenofficerSale18,309$371KSep 16, 2026
Ferring Russell SheaofficerSale16,700$339KSep 16, 2026
Wu RemingtonofficerSale1,827$37KSep 16, 2026
Kim Jesungdirector officerSale86,265$1.7MSep 16, 2026
Ma DarrenofficerSale256$6KAug 24, 2026
O'Konek NathanofficerBuy103,154-Aug 4, 2026

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FLY Growth Story

Revenue YoY

162.9%

3yr Revenue CAGR

N/A%

EPS Growth YoY

76.71%

FCF Growth YoY

-24.9%

Revenue Trend

ACCELERATING

Dark Pool Trades for FLY

PREVIEW

SEPT Investing tracks real-time dark pool institutional trades for FLY, including block trade sizes, dollar values, and buy/sell side classification. Dark pool trades reveal where institutional investors are positioning before moves become visible on public exchanges.

TimePriceSizeValueSide
23:44:20$26.101,000$$26KSELL
22:58:34$26.181,000$$26KSELL
22:43:17$25.981,000$$26KSELL
22:42:24$25.971,000$$26KSELL
22:35:13$26.381,000$$26KBUY

5 dark pool trades shown · $$131K preview volume

Real-time institutional flow, block trades, and net positioning

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Options Flow for FLY

PREVIEW

SEPT Investing provides real-time options flow tracking for FLY, including unusual sweep detection, block trades, and dealer positioning. Each trade shows strike, expiry, premium, implied volatility, and greek values for informed decision-making.

TypeStrikeExpiryDTEPremiumSizeTrade
PUT$22.5Nov 2716$$1402SWEEP
PUT$22.5Nov 2716$$701SWEEP
CALL$26Nov 132$$1301SWEEP
CALL$30Jan 1565$$2651SWEEP
CALL$35Jan 1565$$1351SWEEP

5 options trades shown · 60% calls

Unusual activity, GEX levels, max pain, and dealer positioning

See full options flow

What Traders Are Saying About FLY

1 posts

SEPT Investing hosts an active community of 3,500+ traders sharing real-time analysis, trade setups, and market discussion for FLY. Join verified traders discussing price action, dark pool alerts, options flow, and AI-powered market intelligence.

S
SEPT InvestingVERIFIED162d ago

SEPT Brain on $FLY -- Bearish FLY pushed to $46.02, past $29.60 and $30.23 and $30.86 targets then reversed hard -- 92% selling erased the gains. Stock-specific selling (SPY +0.3%). Uptrend holds whi...

1236 views

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Full AI Research Report

SEPT's Trading AI has generated a free, downloadable PDF research report for Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) covering valuation analysis, financial health assessment, growth projections, smart money tracking, earnings and key price levels. For research only, not investment advice.

Report includes: PDF download, detailed valuation models (DCF, P/E, EV/EBITDA), institutional flow analysis, congress and insider trade tracking, FinBERT news sentiment (9 articles analyzed), and SEC filing intelligence...

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FLY — frequently asked questions

What is FLY stock price today?

Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) is at $26.61, up 12.28% (+$2.91) at the Nov 11, 2026 close.

Why is FLY stock moving today?

Latest FLY news — Nov 11, 2026: Firefly Aerospace Analysts Raise Forecasts After Stronger Q3 Results · Nov 11, 2026: Barclays keeps Equal-Weight on Firefly Aerospace, lifts target to $35

What is the FLY price target?

The average analyst price target for FLY is $35.00, ranging from $25 to $54, based on 7 analysts. Latest: B. Riley Securities maintains on Nov 11, 2026.

What do analysts rate FLY?

Analyst ratings for FLY: 1 Buy, 9 Hold, 0 Sell — consensus Hold.

What is FLY's P/E ratio?

FLY trades at a P/E of 4.6 vs a Industrials average of 25.4.

Does FLY pay a dividend?

Yes. FLY's dividend yield is 0.32%.

What are FLY support and resistance levels?

Support: $25.33, $23.41, $20.73. Resistance: $28.20, $31.09, $34.37.

What are insiders doing with FLY?

Insider activity: NEUTRAL, 0 buys and 2 sells in the last 90 days.

What is the latest news on FLY?

Nov 11, 2026: Firefly Aerospace Analysts Raise Forecasts After Stronger Q3 Results · Nov 11, 2026: Barclays keeps Equal-Weight on Firefly Aerospace, lifts target to $35 · Nov 11, 2026: B. Riley Securities keeps Buy rating on Firefly Aerospace, lifts target to $54