AnalysisNews

CERT today

$11.73-$0.39 (-3.26%)close Nov 11, 2026

Trend

DailyUptrend (confirmed)

4 hourBearish

1 hourStrong Bearish

15 minDescending Triangle

5 minStrong Bearish

Daily trend turns down below $10.46

Key levels

Resistance$13.27

Resistance$12.61

Support$11.12

Support$10.46

Latest news & SEC filings

AnalystBarclays keeps Equal-Weight rating on Certara, lifts price target to $12

AnalystUBS lowers Certara rating to Neutral

EarningsCertara holds Q3 2026 earnings call

EarningsCertara Posts Q3 2026 Results

All CERT news →

About Certara

Certara supplies biosimulation software and consulting services to the biopharmaceutical industry. Its tools simulate how medicines act within patients, helping companies plan trials and prepare regulatory submissions. Customers include drugmakers, academic institutions, and government regulators worldwide.

Based on the company's 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026.

Nasdaq · Technology

Certara, Inc. (CERT)

$11.73-0.39 (-3.26%)
HOLDGrade: BRisk: LOW
1D5D1M1Y5YMaxSign up for all timeframes
9.3610.0710.7911.5011.73Oct 9Oct 19Oct 27Nov 4
High12.38
Low11.67
Open12.25
Volume3.12M
Avg Vol2.74M
VWAP11.90
30d High12.22
30d Low8.64
30d Chg+25.59%

What Is the Price Target for CERT?

SEPT Low Target

$6.00

SEPT Mid Target

$9.50

SEPT High Target

$12.00

Analyst Consensus

$9.50

Current: $11.67Upside: -18.6%Confidence: 85%Method: Analyst Consensus

Is CERT a Buy or Sell Right Now?

55
Investability Score
HOLD12-18 months
News summary · last 30 days
Nov 5▲ UpEarnings5 articles
Certara shares closed at $12.18, up 8.65% on volume of 3.67 million, after the company reported third-quarter results and held its earnings call. Adjusted EPS of $0.09 met expectations, while revenue of $94.901 million topped the $92.867 million consensus, a bullish signal that likely drove the gain. However, the company trimmed its fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS outlook to $0.31-$0.34 from $0.31-$0.36, though it still expects full-year revenue to rise 2% to 3% year over year. The revenue beat and in-line earnings appear to have outweighed the guidance cut, pushing the stock higher on the day.
Critical news
Nov 5HIGHEarnings: growth/beat

Thesis

  • •Revenue growing 8.8% YoY with ACCELERATING trend — accelerating momentum.

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Is CERT Overvalued or Undervalued?

Valuation Verdict

FAIR

Methods Used

P/E Forward, P/B, Analyst Consensus

Fair Value

$11.00

27

Moat Score

NONE

5/9

Piotroski Score

2.4

Altman Z-Score

What Is Smart Money Doing with CERT?

Insider Signal

NEUTRAL

0 buys / 0 sells (90d)

Congress Signal

NEUTRAL

0 buys / 0 sells (90d)

Institutional

N/A

Short Squeeze Risk

HIGH

Signal: HIGH_SHORT_INTEREST

Recent Insider Activity

NameTitleTypeSharesValueDate
Corcoran DanielofficerBuy7,941-Jun 1, 2026
Corcoran DanielofficerSale4,210$25KJun 1, 2026
Corcoran DanielofficerBuy14,889-Jun 1, 2026
Corcoran DanielofficerSale7,893$46KJun 1, 2026
Anhalt RonaofficerBuy7,147-Jun 1, 2026
Anhalt RonaofficerSale2,241$13KJun 1, 2026

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CERT Growth Story

Revenue YoY

8.8%

3yr Revenue CAGR

7.7%

EPS Growth YoY

87.5%

FCF Growth YoY

19.9%

Revenue Trend

ACCELERATING

Dark Pool Trades for CERT

PREVIEW

SEPT Investing tracks real-time dark pool institutional trades for CERT, including block trade sizes, dollar values, and buy/sell side classification. Dark pool trades reveal where institutional investors are positioning before moves become visible on public exchanges.

TimePriceSizeValueSide
21:00:23$11.732,363$$28KBUY
21:00:22$11.731,640$$19KBUY
21:00:01$11.731,529$$18KBUY
21:00:01$11.731,290$$15KBUY
21:00:01$11.731,429$$17KBUY

5 dark pool trades shown · $$97K preview volume

Real-time institutional flow, block trades, and net positioning

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Options Flow for CERT

PREVIEW

SEPT Investing provides real-time options flow tracking for CERT, including unusual sweep detection, block trades, and dealer positioning. Each trade shows strike, expiry, premium, implied volatility, and greek values for informed decision-making.

TypeStrikeExpiryDTEPremiumSizeTrade
CALL$15Nov 209$$255SWEEP

1 options trades shown · 100% calls

Unusual activity, GEX levels, max pain, and dealer positioning

See full options flow

What Traders Are Saying About CERT

1 posts

SEPT Investing hosts an active community of 3,500+ traders sharing real-time analysis, trade setups, and market discussion for CERT. Join verified traders discussing price action, dark pool alerts, options flow, and AI-powered market intelligence.

S
Sarah MitchellVERIFIED33d ago

Zone Setup — $CERT (Certara, Inc.) Price: $9.13 | Zone: $8.64 — $9.27 Conviction: LOW | Analyst upside: +2.9% Major volume event today — setup forming. Mixed signals (1+ vs 1-)

36 views

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Full AI Research Report

SEPT's Trading AI has generated a free, downloadable PDF research report for Certara, Inc. (CERT) covering valuation analysis, financial health assessment, growth projections, smart money tracking, earnings and key price levels. For research only, not investment advice.

Report includes: PDF download, detailed valuation models (DCF, P/E, EV/EBITDA), institutional flow analysis, congress and insider trade tracking, FinBERT news sentiment (1 articles analyzed), and SEC filing intelligence...

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CERT — frequently asked questions

What is CERT stock price today?

Certara, Inc. (CERT) is at $11.73, down 3.26% (-$0.39) at the Nov 11, 2026 close.

Why is CERT stock moving today?

Latest CERT news — Nov 6, 2026: Barclays keeps Equal-Weight rating on Certara, lifts price target to $12 · Nov 6, 2026: UBS lowers Certara rating to Neutral

Why did CERT stock move on Nov 5, 2026?

Certara shares closed at $12.18, up 8.65% on volume of 3.67 million, after the company reported third-quarter results and held its earnings call. Adjusted EPS of $0.09 met expectations, while revenue of $94.901 million topped the $92.867 million consensus, a bullish signal that likely drove the gain.

What is the CERT price target?

The average analyst price target for CERT is $9.50, ranging from $6 to $12, based on 8 analysts. Latest: Keybanc maintains on Oct 16, 2026.

What do analysts rate CERT?

Analyst ratings for CERT: 0 Buy, 10 Hold, 1 Sell — consensus Hold.

Did CERT beat earnings?

CERT last reported on Aug 4, 2026: EPS $0.08 vs $0.09 expected — a miss of 10.4%.

Does CERT pay a dividend?

CERT does not currently pay a dividend.

How much debt does CERT have?

Certara, Inc. reported $292M of debt and $184M of cash (Jun 30, 2026).

What are CERT support and resistance levels?

Support: $11.12, $10.46, $9.21. Resistance: $12.61, $13.27, $13.88.

What are insiders doing with CERT?

Insider activity: NEUTRAL, 0 buys and 0 sells in the last 90 days.

What is the latest news on CERT?

Nov 6, 2026: Barclays keeps Equal-Weight rating on Certara, lifts price target to $12 · Nov 6, 2026: UBS lowers Certara rating to Neutral · Nov 5, 2026: Certara holds Q3 2026 earnings call